- objects: elements of X;
- morphism: \mathrm{Hom}_{[X/G]}(x, y) = \{g \in G : gx = y\}.
In this category, every morphism is invertible, so [X/G] is indeed a groupoid. We have \mathrm{Aut}_{[X/G]}(x) = \mathrm{Stab}_{G}(x),
the stabilizer subgroup of G at x \in X. The set X/G of orbits of this action is precisely the set of isomorpihsm classes of [X/G].
Given an isomorphism class [x] of [X/G] (i.e., an orbit of the given action), the orbit-stabilizer theorem translates to |[x]| = |G|/|\mathrm{Aut}_{[X/G]}(x)|.
This implies that \sum_{[x] \in X/G}\frac{1}{|\mathrm{Aut}_{[X/G]}(x)|} = \frac{|X|}{|G|}.
Now, say we have a subset Y \subset X where the G-action restricts to. Then
\frac{\sum_{[y] \in Y/G}\frac{1}{|\mathrm{Aut}(y)|}}{\sum_{[x] \in X/G}\frac{1}{|\mathrm{Aut}(x)|}} = \frac{|Y|/|G|}{|X|/|G|} = \frac{|Y|}{|X|}.
Hence, we just obtained another expression of the probability that a random element of X lies in Y, when X is given the uniform distribution.
Why do we bother? We could just write |Y|/|X| instead of another fraction of some complicated summations. The first reason I can think of is quite philosophical. If we are just given categories \mathcal{B} \subset \mathcal{A}, where the latter is nonempty, with finitely many isomorphism classes that are not necessarily given as the action groupoids, how should we define the probability that a random object of \mathcal{A} is in \mathcal{B}? One may say |\mathrm{Ob}(\mathcal{B})|/|\mathrm{Ob}(\mathcal{A})|, but it is rarely the case that a category has finitely many objects. It would be more reasonable to define \mathrm{Prob}_{x \in \mathcal{A}}(x \in \mathcal{B}) := \frac{\sum_{[y] \in \mathcal{B}/\simeq}\frac{1}{|\mathrm{Aut}(y)|}}{\sum_{[x] \in \mathcal{A}/\simeq}\frac{1}{|\mathrm{Aut}(x)|}},
Example. Consider the scheme \mathrm{Mat}_{n} := \mathbb{A}^{n^{2}} = \mathrm{Spec}(\mathbb{F}_{q}[x_{ij}]_{1 \leq i, j \leq n}) over a fixed finite field \mathbb{F}_{q}. We chose the notation because we would like to think about n \times n matrices (x_{ij})_{i,j=1}^{n} in the back of our head. We can then think about the group scheme \mathrm{GL}_{n} := \mathrm{Mat}_{n} \smallsetminus V(\det),
Remark. Another reason for taking the definition for the number of points with the weight 1/|\mathrm{Aut}| is due to Behrend's trace formula.
which is a "generalization" of the case of action groupoids. Perhaps, we should define the number of points on the category \mathcal{A} as \| \mathcal{A} \| := \sum_{[x] \in \mathcal{A}/\simeq}\frac{1}{|\mathrm{Aut}(x)|}.
OK. Now I am going to speak about something that I am not quite familiar with. The sum over the isomorphism classes with the weights above also seems to be the definition of the number of points over a finite field for a Deligne-Mumford stack (e.g. van den Bogaard and Edixhoven). When we have a quotient stack, this seems to fit our discussion even more evidently, but I am quite daunted to check any formal "stacky" axioms, so let's think about an example.
Example. Consider the scheme \mathrm{Mat}_{n} := \mathbb{A}^{n^{2}} = \mathrm{Spec}(\mathbb{F}_{q}[x_{ij}]_{1 \leq i, j \leq n}) over a fixed finite field \mathbb{F}_{q}. We chose the notation because we would like to think about n \times n matrices (x_{ij})_{i,j=1}^{n} in the back of our head. We can then think about the group scheme \mathrm{GL}_{n} := \mathrm{Mat}_{n} \smallsetminus V(\det),
which is an open subset of \mathrm{Mat}_{n}. We have a scheme-theoretic action of \mathrm{GL}_{n} on \mathrm{Mat}_{n}, given by the conjugation, and this gives a quotient stack [\mathrm{Mat}_{n}/\mathrm{GL}_{n}]. The set [\mathrm{Mat}_{n}/\mathrm{GL}_{n}](\mathbb{F}_{q}) of \mathbb{F}_{q}-points of this quotient stack is precisely the groupoid of the conjugate action of the group \mathrm{GL}_{n}(\mathbb{F}_{q}) of invertible matrices on the set \mathrm{Mat}_{n}(\mathbb{F}_{q}) of n \times n matrices over \mathbb{F}_{q}, so in notation, we have [\mathrm{Mat}_{n}/\mathrm{GL}_{n}](\mathbb{F}_{q}) = [\mathrm{Mat}_{n}(\mathbb{F}_{q})/\mathrm{GL}_{n}(\mathbb{F}_{q})].
Moreover, note that the isomorphism classes of \mathbb{F}_{q}[t]-modules of \mathbb{F}_{q}-dimension n are in one-to-one correspondence with the orbits of this conjugation action. The category \mathrm{Mod}_{\mathbb{F}_{q}[t]}^{\dim_{\mathbb{F}_{q}} = n} of \mathbb{F}_{q}[t]-modules of \mathbb{F}_{q}-dimension n surely has infinitely many objects, but it has only finitely many isomorphism classes, each of corresponds to an element of \mathrm{Mat}_{n}(\mathbb{F}_{q})/\mathrm{GL}_{n}(\mathbb{F}_{q}). If we unravel the definition of probability we defined above, for any property \mathscr{P} on the objects of the category \mathrm{Mod}_{\mathbb{F}_{q}[t]}^{\dim_{\mathbb{F}_{q}} = n} that is invariant under its isomorphism classes, we have: \mathrm{Prob}_{M \in \mathrm{Mod}_{\mathbb{F}_{q}[t]}^{\dim_{\mathbb{F}_{q}} = n}}(M \text{ satisfies } \mathscr{P}) = \mathrm{Prob}_{A \in \mathrm{Mat}_{n}(\mathbb{F}_{q})}(A \text{ satisfies } \mathscr{P}),
where the right-hand side is given by the uniform distribution on \mathrm{Mat}_{n}(\mathbb{F}_{q}).
Remark. Another reason for taking the definition for the number of points with the weight 1/|\mathrm{Aut}| is due to Behrend's trace formula.
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